references.bib

%% This BibTeX bibliography file was created using BibDesk.
%% https://bibdesk.sourceforge.io/

%% Created for Rose, Brian at 2024-06-03 11:56:53 -0400 


%% Saved with string encoding Unicode (UTF-8) 



@article{Lenssen:2019a,
	author = {Lenssen, N. and Schmidt, G. and Hansen, J. and Menne, M. and Persin, A. and Ruedy, R. and Zyss, D.},
	date-added = {2024-06-03 09:15:01 -0400},
	date-modified = {2024-06-03 09:15:01 -0400},
	doi = {10.1029/2018JD029522},
	journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},
	number = {12},
	pages = {6307--6326},
	title = {Improvements in the GISTEMP uncertainty model},
	volume = {124},
	year = {2019},
	bdsk-url-1 = {https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029522}}

@article{Morice:2012a,
	author = {Colin P. Morice and John J. Kennedy and Nick A. Rayner and Phil D. Jones},
	date-added = {2024-06-03 09:12:29 -0400},
	date-modified = {2024-06-03 09:12:56 -0400},
	doi = {10.1029/2011JD017187},
	journal = {J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.},
	number = {D8},
	title = {Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates: The {HadCRUT4} data set},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD017187},
	volume = {117},
	year = {2012},
	bdsk-file-1 = {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}}

@article{Kay:2015a,
	author = {J. E. Kay and C. Deser and A. Phillips and A. Mai and C. Hannay and G. Strand and J. M. Arblaster and S. C. Bates and G. Danabasoglu and J. Edwards and M. Holland and P. Kushner and J.-F. Lamarque and D. Lawrence and K. Lindsday and A. Middleton and E. Munoz and R. Neale and K. Oleson and L. Polvani and M. Vertenstein},
	date-added = {2024-06-03 09:09:36 -0400},
	date-modified = {2024-06-03 09:13:11 -0400},
	doi = {10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1},
	journal = {Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.},
	title = {The Community Earth System Model ({CESM}) Large Ensemble Project},
	year = {2015},
	bdsk-file-1 = {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}}