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[laffer_adaptive] [lake_model] spelling and check example admonition (#545)
* [laffer_adaptive] update style and spelling
- change 'it reverse' to 'it reverses'
- change the subtitle to lower case to match with the style
- change 'pseudo code' to 'pseudo-code' to match with the title for consistency
- change 'limiting values exists' to 'limiting values exist'
- add hyphen to steady state when using is as adjective for consistency.
* [lake_model] update spelling
- change 'the below graph' to 'the graph below' for better word ordering
- change 'long run growth' to 'long-run growth' for consistency
Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: lectures/laffer_adaptive.md
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@@ -33,7 +33,7 @@ that we adopted in lectures {doc}`money_inflation` and lectures {doc}`money_infl
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We shall discover that changing our hypothesis about expectations formation in this way will change some our findings and leave others intact. In particular, we shall discover that
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* replacing rational expectations with adaptive expectations leaves the two stationary inflation rates unchanged, but that $\ldots$
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* it reverse the perverse dynamics by making the **lower** stationary inflation rate the one to which the system typically converges
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* it reverses the perverse dynamics by making the **lower** stationary inflation rate the one to which the system typically converges
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* a more plausible comparative dynamic outcome emerges in which now inflation can be **reduced** by running **lower** government deficits
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These more plausible comparative dynamics underlie the "old time religion" that states that
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{cite}`marcet2003recurrent` and {cite}`sargent2009conquest` extended that work and applied it to study recurrent high-inflation episodes in Latin America.
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```
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## The Model
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## The model
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Let
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where $\delta \in (0,1)$
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## Computing An Equilibrium Sequence
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## Computing an equilibrium sequence
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Equation the expressions for $m_{t+1}$ promided by {eq}`eq:ada_mdemand` and {eq}`eq:ada_msupply2` and use equation {eq}`eq:adaptex` to eliminate $\pi_t^*$ to obtain
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Equation the expressions for $m_{t+1}$ provided by {eq}`eq:ada_mdemand` and {eq}`eq:ada_msupply2` and use equation {eq}`eq:adaptex` to eliminate $\pi_t^*$ to obtain
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the following equation for $p_t$:
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$$
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**Pseudo-code**
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Here is pseudo code for our algorithm.
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Here is the pseudo-code for our algorithm.
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Starting at time $0$ with initial conditions $(m_0, \pi_{-1}^*, p_{-1})$, for each $t \geq 0$
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deploy the following steps in order:
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This completes the algorithm.
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## Claims or Conjectures
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## Claims or conjectures
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It will turn out that
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* if they exist, limiting values $\overline \pi$ and $\overline \mu$ will be equal
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* if limiting values exists, there are two possible limiting values, one high, one low
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* if limiting values exist, there are two possible limiting values, one high, one low
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* unlike the outcome in lecture {doc}`money_inflation_nonlinear`, for almost all initial log price levels and expected inflation rates $p_0, \pi_{t}^*$, the limiting $\overline \pi = \overline \mu$ is the **lower** steady state value
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* the preceding equation for $p_0$ comes from $m_1 - p_0 = - \alpha \bar \pi$
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## Limiting Values of Inflation Rate
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## Limiting values of inflation rate
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As in our earlier lecture {doc}`money_inflation_nonlinear`, we can compute the two prospective limiting values for $\bar \pi$ by studying the steady-state Laffer curve.
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We find two steady state $\bar \pi$ values
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## Steady State Laffer Curve
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## Steady-state Laffer curve
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The following figure plots the steadystate Laffer curve together with the two stationary inflation rates.
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The following figure plots the steady-state Laffer curve together with the two stationary inflation rates.
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```{code-cell} ipython3
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---
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mystnb:
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figure:
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caption: Seigniorage as function of steadystate inflation. The dashed brown lines
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caption: Seigniorage as function of steady-state inflation. The dashed brown lines
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indicate $\pi_l$ and $\pi_u$.
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name: laffer_curve_adaptive
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width: 500px
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plot_laffer(model, (π_l, π_u))
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```
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## Associated Initial Price Levels
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## Associated initial price levels
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Now that we have our hands on the two possible steady states, we can compute two initial log price levels $p_{-1}$, which as initial conditions, imply that $\pi_t = \bar \pi $ for all $t \geq 0$.
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In particular, to initiate a fixed point of the dynamic Laffer curve dynamics we set
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In particular, to initiate a fixed point of the dynamic Laffer curve dynamics, we set
We are now equipped to compute time series starting from different $p_{-1}, \pi_{-1}^*$ settings, analogous to those in this lecture {doc}`money_inflation` and this lecture {doc}`money_inflation_nonlinear`.
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