-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 9
/
Copy pathbladder_cancer.py
1067 lines (909 loc) · 48 KB
/
bladder_cancer.py
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
635
636
637
638
639
640
641
642
643
644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
653
654
655
656
657
658
659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666
667
668
669
670
671
672
673
674
675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682
683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754
755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762
763
764
765
766
767
768
769
770
771
772
773
774
775
776
777
778
779
780
781
782
783
784
785
786
787
788
789
790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797
798
799
800
801
802
803
804
805
806
807
808
809
810
811
812
813
814
815
816
817
818
819
820
821
822
823
824
825
826
827
828
829
830
831
832
833
834
835
836
837
838
839
840
841
842
843
844
845
846
847
848
849
850
851
852
853
854
855
856
857
858
859
860
861
862
863
864
865
866
867
868
869
870
871
872
873
874
875
876
877
878
879
880
881
882
883
884
885
886
887
888
889
890
891
892
893
894
895
896
897
898
899
900
901
902
903
904
905
906
907
908
909
910
911
912
913
914
915
916
917
918
919
920
921
922
923
924
925
926
927
928
929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936
937
938
939
940
941
942
943
944
945
946
947
948
949
950
951
952
953
954
955
956
957
958
959
960
961
962
963
964
965
966
967
968
969
970
971
972
973
974
975
976
977
978
979
980
981
982
983
984
985
986
987
988
989
990
991
992
993
994
995
996
997
998
999
1000
"""
Bladder Cancer Disease Module
Limitations to note:
* Needs to represent the DxTest 'cystoscopy_blood_urine_bladder_cancer' requires use of a cystoscope
* Footprints of HSI -- pending input from expert on resources required.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
from pathlib import Path
from typing import TYPE_CHECKING, List
import pandas as pd
from tlo import DateOffset, Module, Parameter, Property, Types, logging
from tlo.core import IndividualPropertyUpdates
from tlo.events import IndividualScopeEventMixin, PopulationScopeEventMixin, RegularEvent
from tlo.lm import LinearModel, LinearModelType, Predictor
from tlo.methods import Metadata
from tlo.methods.cancer_consumables import get_consumable_item_codes_cancers
from tlo.methods.causes import Cause
from tlo.methods.demography import InstantaneousDeath
from tlo.methods.dxmanager import DxTest
from tlo.methods.hsi_event import HSI_Event
from tlo.methods.symptommanager import Symptom
if TYPE_CHECKING:
from tlo.population import PatientDetails
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
logger.setLevel(logging.INFO)
class BladderCancer(Module):
"""Bladder Cancer Disease Module"""
def __init__(self, name=None, resourcefilepath=None):
super().__init__(name)
self.resourcefilepath = resourcefilepath
self.linear_models_for_progession_of_bc_status = dict()
self.lm_onset_blood_urine = None
self.lm_onset_pelvic_pain = None
self.daly_wts = dict()
self.item_codes_bladder_can = dict()
INIT_DEPENDENCIES = {'Demography', 'Lifestyle', 'HealthSystem', 'SymptomManager'}
OPTIONAL_INIT_DEPENDENCIES = {'HealthBurden', 'Schisto'}
METADATA = {
Metadata.DISEASE_MODULE,
Metadata.USES_SYMPTOMMANAGER,
Metadata.USES_HEALTHSYSTEM,
Metadata.USES_HEALTHBURDEN
}
# Declare Causes of Death
CAUSES_OF_DEATH = {
'BladderCancer': Cause(gbd_causes='Bladder cancer', label='Cancer (Bladder)'),
}
# Declare Causes of Disability
CAUSES_OF_DISABILITY = {
'BladderCancer': Cause(gbd_causes='Bladder cancer', label='Cancer (Bladder)'),
}
PARAMETERS = {
"init_prop_bladder_cancer_stage": Parameter(
Types.LIST,
"initial proportions in bladder cancer categories for person aged 15-19 and no tobacco and no schisto_h"
),
"init_prop_blood_urine_bladder_cancer_by_stage": Parameter(
Types.LIST, "initial proportions of those with bladder cancer categories that have the symptom blood urine"
),
"init_prop_pelvic_pain_bladder_cancer_by_stage": Parameter(
Types.LIST, "initial proportions of those with bladder cancer categories that have pelvic pain"
),
"init_prop_with_blood_urine_diagnosed_bladder_cancer_by_stage": Parameter(
Types.LIST, "initial proportions of people that have symptom of blood urine that have been diagnosed"
),
"init_prop_with_pelvic_pain_diagnosed_bladder_cancer_by_stage": Parameter(
Types.LIST, "initial proportions of people that have symptom of pelvic pain that have been diagnosed"
),
"init_prop_treatment_status_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.LIST, "initial proportions of people with bladder cancer that had initiated treatment"
),
"init_prob_palliative_care": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "initial probability of being under palliative care if in metastatic"
),
"r_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none": Parameter(
Types.REAL,
"probability per 3 months of incident tis_t1 bladder cancer, amongst people with no bladder cancer"
"(for person aged 15-19 and no tobacco and no schisto_h)",
),
"rr_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none_age3049": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for tis_t1 bladder cancer for age 30-49"
),
"rr_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none_age5069": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for tis_t1 bladder cancer for age 50-69"
),
"rr_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none_agege70": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for tis_t1 bladder cancer for age 70+"
),
"rr_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none_tobacco": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for tis_t1 bladder cancer for tobacco smokers"
),
"rr_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none_schisto_h": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for tis_t1 bladder cancer for schisto_h"
),
"r_t2p_bladder_cancer_tis_t1": Parameter(
Types.REAL,
"probability per 3 months of t2+ bladder cancer, amongst people with tis_t1 bladder cancer",
),
"rr_t2p_bladder_cancer_undergone_curative_treatment": Parameter(
Types.REAL,
"rate ratio for t2+ bladder cancer for people with tis_t1 bladder cancer "
"if had curative treatment at tis_t1 bladder cancer stage",
),
"r_metastatic_t2p_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "probability per 3 months of metastatic bladder cancer amongst people with t2+ bladder cancer"
),
"rr_metastatic_undergone_curative_treatment": Parameter(
Types.REAL,
"rate ratio for metastatic bladder cancer for people with t2+ bladder cancer "
"if had curative treatment at t2+ bladder cancer stage",
),
"rate_palliative_care_metastatic": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "prob palliative care this 3 month period if metastatic bladder cancer"
),
"r_death_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL,
"probability per 3 months of death from bladder cancer amongst people with metastatic bladder cancer",
),
"r_blood_urine_tis_t1_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "probability per 3 months of blood_urine in a person with tis_t1 bladder cancer"
),
"rr_blood_urine_t2p_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for blood_urine if have t2p bladder cancer"
),
"rr_blood_urine_metastatic_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for blood_urine if have metastatic bladder cancer"
),
"r_pelvic_pain_tis_t1_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "probability per 3 months of pelvic_pain in a person with tis_t1 bladder cancer"
),
"rr_pelvic_pain_t2p_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for pelvic_pain if have t2p bladder cancer"
),
"rr_pelvic_pain_metastatic_bladder_cancer": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "rate ratio for pelvic_pain if have metastatic bladder cancer"
),
"rp_bladder_cancer_age3049": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "relative prevalence at baseline of bladder cancer/cancer age 30-49"
),
"rp_bladder_cancer_age5069": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "relative prevalence at baseline of bladder cancer/cancer age 50-69"
),
"rp_bladder_cancer_agege70": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "relative prevalence at baseline of bladder cancer/cancer age 70+"
),
"rp_bladder_cancer_tobacco": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "relative prevalence at baseline of bladder cancer if tobacco"
),
"rp_bladder_cancer_schisto_h": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "relative prevalence at baseline of bladder cancer if schisto_h"
),
"sensitivity_of_cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_blood_urine": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "sensitivity of cystoscopy_for diagnosis of bladder cancer given blood urine"
),
"sensitivity_of_cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_pelvic_pain": Parameter(
Types.REAL, "sensitivity of cystoscopy_for diagnosis of bladder cancer given pelvic pain"
)
}
PROPERTIES = {
"bc_status": Property(
Types.CATEGORICAL,
"Current status of the health condition, bladder cancer",
categories=["none", "tis_t1", "t2p", "metastatic"],
),
"bc_date_diagnosis": Property(
Types.DATE,
"the date of diagnosis of the bladder cancer (pd.NaT if never diagnosed)"
),
"bc_date_treatment": Property(
Types.DATE,
"date of first receiving attempted curative treatment (pd.NaT if never started treatment)"
),
"bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given": Property(
Types.CATEGORICAL,
"the cancer stage at which treatment is given (because the treatment only has an effect during the stage"
"at which it is given ",
categories=["none", "tis_t1", "t2p", "metastatic"],
),
"bc_date_palliative_care": Property(
Types.DATE,
"date of first receiving palliative care (pd.NaT is never had palliative care)"
),
"bc_date_death": Property(
Types.DATE,
"date bc death"
)
}
def read_parameters(self, data_folder):
"""Setup parameters used by the module, now including disability weights"""
# Update parameters from the resourcefile
self.load_parameters_from_dataframe(
pd.read_excel(Path(self.resourcefilepath) / "ResourceFile_Bladder_Cancer.xlsx",
sheet_name="parameter_values")
)
# Register Symptom that this module will use
self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].register_symptom(
Symptom(name='blood_urine',
odds_ratio_health_seeking_in_adults=4.00,
no_healthcareseeking_in_children=True)
)
# Register Symptom that this module will use
self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].register_symptom(
Symptom(name='pelvic_pain',
odds_ratio_health_seeking_in_adults=4.00,
no_healthcareseeking_in_children=True)
)
def initialise_population(self, population):
"""Set property values for the initial population."""
df = population.props # a shortcut to the data-frame
p = self.parameters
# defaults
df.loc[df.is_alive, "bc_status"] = "none"
df.loc[df.is_alive, "bc_date_diagnosis"] = pd.NaT
df.loc[df.is_alive, "bc_date_treatment"] = pd.NaT
df.loc[df.is_alive, "bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given"] = "none"
df.loc[df.is_alive, "bc_date_palliative_care"] = pd.NaT
df.loc[df.is_alive, "bc_date_death"] = pd.NaT
# -------------------- bc_status -----------
# Determine who has cancer at ANY cancer stage:
# check parameters are sensible: probability of having any cancer stage cannot exceed 1.0
assert sum(p['init_prop_bladder_cancer_stage']) <= 1.0
predictors = [
Predictor('li_tob').when(True, p['rp_bladder_cancer_tobacco']),
Predictor('age_years', conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True)
.when('.between(30,49)', p['rp_bladder_cancer_age3049'])
.when('.between(50,69)', p['rp_bladder_cancer_age5069'])
.when('.between(70,120)', p['rp_bladder_cancer_agege70'])
.when('.between(0,14)', 0.0)
]
conditional_predictors = [
Predictor('ss_sh_infection_status').when('High-infection', p['rp_bladder_cancer_schisto_h']),
] if "Schisto" in self.sim.modules else []
lm_init_bc_status_any_stage = LinearModel(
LinearModelType.MULTIPLICATIVE,
sum(p['init_prop_bladder_cancer_stage']),
*(predictors + conditional_predictors)
)
bc_status_any_stage = lm_init_bc_status_any_stage.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], self.rng)
# Determine the stage of the cancer for those who do have a cancer:
if bc_status_any_stage.sum():
sum_probs = sum(p['init_prop_bladder_cancer_stage'])
if sum_probs > 0:
prob_by_stage_of_cancer_if_cancer = [i/sum_probs for i in p['init_prop_bladder_cancer_stage']]
assert (sum(prob_by_stage_of_cancer_if_cancer) - 1.0) < 1e-10
df.loc[bc_status_any_stage, "bc_status"] = self.rng.choice(
[val for val in df.bc_status.cat.categories if val != 'none'],
size=bc_status_any_stage.sum(),
p=prob_by_stage_of_cancer_if_cancer
)
# -------------------- SYMPTOMS -----------
# ----- Impose the symptom of random sample of those in each cancer stage to have the symptom of blood_urine:
lm_init_blood_urine = LinearModel.multiplicative(
Predictor(
'bc_status',
conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True,
conditions_are_exhaustive=True,
)
.when("none", 0.0)
.when("tis_t1", p['init_prop_blood_urine_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][0])
.when("t2p", p['init_prop_blood_urine_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][1])
.when("metastatic", p['init_prop_blood_urine_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][2])
)
has_blood_urine_at_init = lm_init_blood_urine.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], self.rng)
self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].change_symptom(
person_id=has_blood_urine_at_init.index[has_blood_urine_at_init].tolist(),
symptom_string='blood_urine',
add_or_remove='+',
disease_module=self
)
# ----- Impose the symptom of random sample of those in each cancer stage to have the symptom of pelvic pain:
lm_init_pelvic_pain = LinearModel.multiplicative(
Predictor(
'bc_status',
conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True,
conditions_are_exhaustive=True,
)
.when("none", 0.0)
.when("tis_t1", p['init_prop_pelvic_pain_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][0])
.when("t2p", p['init_prop_pelvic_pain_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][1])
.when("metastatic", p['init_prop_pelvic_pain_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][2])
)
has_pelvic_pain_at_init = lm_init_pelvic_pain.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], self.rng)
self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].change_symptom(
person_id=has_pelvic_pain_at_init.index[has_pelvic_pain_at_init].tolist(),
symptom_string='pelvic_pain',
add_or_remove='+',
disease_module=self
)
# -------------------- bc_date_diagnosis -----------
lm_init_diagnosed = LinearModel.multiplicative(
Predictor(
'bc_status',
conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True,
conditions_are_exhaustive=True,
)
.when("none", 0.0)
.when("tis_t1", p['init_prop_with_blood_urine_diagnosed_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][0])
.when("t2p", p['init_prop_with_blood_urine_diagnosed_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][1])
.when("metastatic", p['init_prop_with_blood_urine_diagnosed_bladder_cancer_by_stage'][2])
)
ever_diagnosed = lm_init_diagnosed.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], self.rng)
# ensure that persons who have not ever had the symptom blood_urine are diagnosed:
ever_diagnosed.loc[~has_blood_urine_at_init] = False
# For those that have been diagnosed, set date of diagnosis to today's date
df.loc[ever_diagnosed, "bc_date_diagnosis"] = self.sim.date
# -------------------- bc_date_treatment -----------
lm_init_treatment_for_those_diagnosed = LinearModel.multiplicative(
Predictor(
'bc_status',
conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True,
conditions_are_exhaustive=True,
)
.when("none", 0.0)
.when("tis_t1", p['init_prop_treatment_status_bladder_cancer'][0])
.when("t2p", p['init_prop_treatment_status_bladder_cancer'][1])
.when("metastatic", p['init_prop_treatment_status_bladder_cancer'][2])
)
treatment_initiated = lm_init_treatment_for_those_diagnosed.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], self.rng)
# prevent treatment having been initiated for anyone who is not yet diagnosed
treatment_initiated.loc[pd.isnull(df.bc_date_diagnosis)] = False
# assume that the stage at which treatment is begun is the stage the person is in now;
# df.loc[treatment_initiated, "bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given"] = df.loc[treatment_initiated, "bc_status"]
df.loc[treatment_initiated, "bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given"] = "t2p"
# set date at which treatment began: same as diagnosis (NB. no HSI is established for this)
df.loc[treatment_initiated, "bc_date_treatment"] = df.loc[treatment_initiated, "bc_date_diagnosis"]
# -------------------- bc_date_palliative_care -----------
in_metastatic_diagnosed = df.index[
df.is_alive &
(df.bc_status == 'metastatic') &
~pd.isnull(df.bc_date_diagnosis)
]
select_for_care = self.rng.random_sample(size=len(in_metastatic_diagnosed)) < p['init_prob_palliative_care']
select_for_care = in_metastatic_diagnosed[select_for_care]
# set date of palliative care being initiated: same as diagnosis (NB. future HSI will be scheduled for this)
df.loc[select_for_care, "bc_date_palliative_care"] = df.loc[select_for_care, "bc_date_diagnosis"]
def initialise_simulation(self, sim):
"""
* Schedule the main polling event
* Schedule the main logging event
* Define the LinearModels
* Define the Diagnostic used
* Define the Disability-weights
* Schedule the palliative care appointments for those that are on palliative care at initiation
"""
# We call the following function to store the required consumables for the simulation run within the appropriate
# dictionary
self.item_codes_bladder_can = get_consumable_item_codes_cancers(self)
# ----- SCHEDULE LOGGING EVENTS -----
# Schedule logging event to happen immediately
sim.schedule_event(BladderCancerLoggingEvent(self), sim.date + DateOffset(months=0))
# ----- SCHEDULE MAIN POLLING EVENTS -----
# Schedule main polling event to happen immediately
sim.schedule_event(BladderCancerMainPollingEvent(self), sim.date + DateOffset(months=0))
# ----- LINEAR MODELS -----
# Define LinearModels for the progression of cancer, in each 3 month period
# NB. The effect being produced is that treatment only has the effect for during the stage at which the
# treatment was received.
df = sim.population.props
p = self.parameters
lm = self.linear_models_for_progession_of_bc_status
predictors = [
Predictor('age_years', conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True)
.when('.between(30,49)', p['rp_bladder_cancer_age3049'])
.when('.between(50,69)', p['rp_bladder_cancer_age5069'])
.when('.between(70,120)', p['rp_bladder_cancer_agege70'])
.when('.between(0,14)', 0.0),
Predictor('li_tob').when(True, p['rr_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none_tobacco']),
# todo:
# Predictor('tmp_').when(True, p['rr_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none_ex_alc']),
Predictor('bc_status').when('none', 1.0).otherwise(0.0),
]
conditional_predictors = [
Predictor('ss_sh_infection_status').when('High-infection', p['rp_bladder_cancer_schisto_h']),
] if "Schisto" in self.sim.modules else []
lm["tis_t1"] = LinearModel(
LinearModelType.MULTIPLICATIVE,
p['r_tis_t1_bladder_cancer_none'],
*(predictors + conditional_predictors)
)
lm['t2p'] = LinearModel(
LinearModelType.MULTIPLICATIVE,
p['r_t2p_bladder_cancer_tis_t1'],
Predictor('had_treatment_during_this_stage',
external=True).when(True, p['rr_t2p_bladder_cancer_undergone_curative_treatment']),
Predictor('bc_status').when('tis_t1', 1.0)
.otherwise(0.0)
)
lm['metastatic'] = LinearModel(
LinearModelType.MULTIPLICATIVE,
p['r_metastatic_t2p_bladder_cancer'],
Predictor('had_treatment_during_this_stage',
external=True).when(True, p['rr_metastatic_undergone_curative_treatment']),
Predictor('bc_status').when('t2p', 1.0)
.otherwise(0.0)
)
# Check that the dict labels are correct as these are used to set the value of bc_status
assert set(lm).union({'none'}) == set(df.bc_status.cat.categories)
# Linear Model for the onset of blood_urine, in each 3 month period
self.lm_onset_blood_urine = LinearModel(
LinearModelType.MULTIPLICATIVE,
p['r_blood_urine_tis_t1_bladder_cancer'],
Predictor(
'bc_status',
conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True,
conditions_are_exhaustive=True,
)
.when('tis_t1', 1.0)
.when('t2p', p['rr_blood_urine_t2p_bladder_cancer'])
.when('metastatic', p['rr_blood_urine_metastatic_bladder_cancer'])
.when('none', 0.0)
)
# Linear Model for the onset of pelvic_pain, in each 3 month period
self.lm_onset_pelvic_pain = LinearModel(
LinearModelType.MULTIPLICATIVE,
p['r_pelvic_pain_tis_t1_bladder_cancer'],
Predictor(
'bc_status',
conditions_are_mutually_exclusive=True,
conditions_are_exhaustive=True,
)
.when('tis_t1', 1.0)
.when('t2p', p['rr_pelvic_pain_t2p_bladder_cancer'])
.when('metastatic', p['rr_pelvic_pain_metastatic_bladder_cancer'])
.when('none', 0.0)
)
# ----- DX TESTS -----
# Create the diagnostic test representing the use of a cytoscope to diagnose bladder cancer
# This properties of conditional on the test being done only to persons with the Symptom, 'blood_urine'.
self.sim.modules['HealthSystem'].dx_manager.register_dx_test(
cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_given_blood_urine=DxTest(
property='bc_status',
sensitivity=self.parameters['sensitivity_of_cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_blood_urine'],
target_categories=["tis_t1", "t2p", "metastatic"]
)
)
self.sim.modules['HealthSystem'].dx_manager.register_dx_test(
cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_given_pelvic_pain=DxTest(
property='bc_status',
sensitivity=self.parameters['sensitivity_of_cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_pelvic_pain'],
target_categories=["tis_t1", "t2p", "metastatic"]
)
)
# ----- DISABILITY-WEIGHT -----
if "HealthBurden" in self.sim.modules:
health_burden = self.sim.modules["HealthBurden"]
# For those with cancer (any stage prior to metastatic) and never treated
self.daly_wts["tis_t1_t2p"] = health_burden.get_daly_weight(
sequlae_code=550
# todo: may need to consider reducing daly weight for early (tis_t1) as physical symptoms are unlikely
# "Diagnosis and primary therapy phase of bladder cancer":
# "Cancer, diagnosis and primary therapy ","has pain, nausea, fatigue, weight loss and high anxiety."
)
# For those with cancer (any stage prior to metastatic) and has been treated
self.daly_wts["tis_t1_t2p_treated"] = health_burden.get_daly_weight(
sequlae_code=547
# "Controlled phase of bladder cancer,Generic uncomplicated disease":
# "worry and daily medication,has a chronic disease that requires medication every day and causes some
# worry but minimal interference with daily activities".
)
# For those in metastatic: no palliative care
self.daly_wts["metastatic"] = health_burden.get_daly_weight(
sequlae_code=549
# "Metastatic phase of esophageal cancer:
# "Cancer, metastatic","has severe pain, extreme fatigue, weight loss and high anxiety."
)
# For those in metastatic: with palliative care
self.daly_wts["metastatic_palliative_care"] = self.daly_wts["tis_t1_t2p"]
# By assumption, we say that that the weight for those in metastatic with palliative care is the same as
# that for those with earlier stage cancers. (this may be over-optimistic)
# ----- HSI FOR PALLIATIVE CARE -----
on_palliative_care_at_initiation = df.index[df.is_alive & ~pd.isnull(df.bc_date_palliative_care)]
for person_id in on_palliative_care_at_initiation:
self.sim.modules['HealthSystem'].schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_PalliativeCare(module=self, person_id=person_id),
priority=0,
topen=self.sim.date + DateOffset(months=1),
tclose=self.sim.date + DateOffset(months=1) + DateOffset(weeks=1)
)
def on_birth(self, mother_id, child_id):
"""Initialise properties for a newborn individual.
:param mother_id: the mother for this child
:param child_id: the new child
"""
df = self.sim.population.props
df.at[child_id, "bc_status"] = "none"
df.at[child_id, "bc_date_diagnosis"] = pd.NaT
df.at[child_id, "bc_date_treatment"] = pd.NaT
df.at[child_id, "bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given"] = "none"
df.at[child_id, "bc_date_palliative_care"] = pd.NaT
df.at[child_id, "bc_date_death"] = pd.NaT
def on_hsi_alert(self, person_id, treatment_id):
pass
def report_daly_values(self):
# This must send back a dataframe that reports on the HealthStates for all individuals over the past month
df = self.sim.population.props # shortcut to population properties dataframe for alive persons
disability_series_for_alive_persons = pd.Series(index=df.index[df.is_alive], data=0.0)
# Assign daly_wt to those with cancer stages before metastatic and have either never been treated or
# are no longer in the stage in which they were treated
disability_series_for_alive_persons.loc[
(
(df.bc_status == "tis_t1") | (df.bc_status == "t2p")
)
] = self.daly_wts['tis_t1_t2p']
# Assign daly_wt to those with cancer stages before metastatic and who have been treated and
# who are still in the stage in which they were treated.
disability_series_for_alive_persons.loc[
(
~pd.isnull(df.bc_date_treatment) &
((df.bc_status == "tis_t1") | (df.bc_status == "t2p")) &
(df.bc_status == df.bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given)
)
] = self.daly_wts['tis_t1_t2p_treated']
# Assign daly_wt to those in metastatic cancer (who have not had palliative care)
disability_series_for_alive_persons.loc[
(df.bc_status == "metastatic") &
(pd.isnull(df.bc_date_palliative_care))
] = self.daly_wts['metastatic']
# Assign daly_wt to those in metastatic cancer, who have had palliative care
disability_series_for_alive_persons.loc[
(df.bc_status == "metastatic") &
(~pd.isnull(df.bc_date_palliative_care))
] = self.daly_wts['metastatic_palliative_care']
return disability_series_for_alive_persons
def do_at_generic_first_appt(
self,
patient_id: int,
patient_details: PatientDetails,
symptoms: List[str],
**kwargs,
) -> IndividualPropertyUpdates:
# Only investigate if the patient is not a child
if patient_details.age_years > 5:
# Begin investigation if symptoms are present.
if "blood_urine" in symptoms:
event = HSI_BladderCancer_Investigation_Following_Blood_Urine(
person_id=patient_id, module=self
)
self.healthsystem.schedule_hsi_event(
event, topen=self.sim.date, priority=0
)
if "pelvic_pain" in symptoms:
event = HSI_BladderCancer_Investigation_Following_pelvic_pain(
person_id=patient_id, module=self
)
self.healthsystem.schedule_hsi_event(
event, topen=self.sim.date, priority=0
)
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
# DISEASE MODULE EVENTS
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
class BladderCancerMainPollingEvent(RegularEvent, PopulationScopeEventMixin):
"""
Regular event that updates all bladder cancer properties for population:
* Acquisition and progression of bladder Cancer
* Symptom Development according to stage of bladder Cancer
* Deaths from bladder Cancer for those in metastatic
"""
def __init__(self, module):
super().__init__(module, frequency=DateOffset(months=1))
# scheduled to run every 3 months: do not change as this is hard-wired into the values of all the parameters.
def apply(self, population):
df = population.props # shortcut to dataframe
m = self.module
rng = m.rng
# -------------------- ACQUISITION AND PROGRESSION OF CANCER (bc_status) -----------------------------------
# determine if the person had a treatment during this stage of cancer (nb. treatment only has an effect on
# reducing progression risk during the stage at which is received.
had_treatment_during_this_stage = (
df.is_alive & ~pd.isnull(df.bc_date_treatment) & (df.bc_status == df.bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given)
)
for stage, lm in m.linear_models_for_progession_of_bc_status.items():
gets_new_stage = lm.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], rng,
had_treatment_during_this_stage=had_treatment_during_this_stage)
df.loc[gets_new_stage[gets_new_stage].index, 'bc_status'] = stage
# -------------------- UPDATING OF SYMPTOM OF blood_urine OVER TIME --------------------------------
# Each time this event is called (event 3 months) individuals may develop the symptom of blood_urine.
# Once the symptom is developed it never resolves naturally. It may trigger health-care-seeking behaviour.
onset_blood_urine = m.lm_onset_blood_urine.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], rng)
self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].change_symptom(
person_id=onset_blood_urine[onset_blood_urine].index.tolist(),
symptom_string='blood_urine',
add_or_remove='+',
disease_module=m
)
# -------------------- UPDATING OF SYMPTOM OF PELVIC PAIN OVER TIME --------------------------------
# Each time this event is called (event 3 months) individuals may develop the symptom of pelvic pain.
# Once the symptom is developed it never resolves naturally. It may trigger health-care-seeking behaviour.
onset_pelvic_pain = m.lm_onset_pelvic_pain.predict(df.loc[df.is_alive], rng)
self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].change_symptom(
person_id=onset_pelvic_pain[onset_pelvic_pain].index.tolist(),
symptom_string='pelvic_pain',
add_or_remove='+',
disease_module=m
)
# -------------------- DEATH FROM bladder CANCER ---------------------------------------
# There is a risk of death for those in metastatic only. Death is assumed to go instantly.
metastatic_idx = df.index[df.is_alive & (df.bc_status == "metastatic")]
selected_to_die = metastatic_idx[
rng.random_sample(size=len(metastatic_idx)) < m.parameters['r_death_bladder_cancer']]
for person_id in selected_to_die:
self.sim.schedule_event(
InstantaneousDeath(m, person_id, "BladderCancer"), self.sim.date
)
df.loc[selected_to_die, 'bc_date_death'] = self.sim.date
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
# HEALTH SYSTEM INTERACTION EVENTS
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
class HSI_BladderCancer_Investigation_Following_Blood_Urine(HSI_Event, IndividualScopeEventMixin):
"""
This event is scheduled by HSI_GenericFirstApptAtFacilityLevel1 following presentation for care with the symptom
blood_urine.
This event begins the investigation that may result in diagnosis of Bladder Cancer and the scheduling of
treatment or palliative care.
It is for people with the symptom blood_urine.
"""
def __init__(self, module, person_id):
super().__init__(module, person_id=person_id)
self.TREATMENT_ID = "BladderCancer_Investigation"
self.EXPECTED_APPT_FOOTPRINT = self.make_appt_footprint({"Over5OPD": 1})
self.ACCEPTED_FACILITY_LEVEL = '1b'
def apply(self, person_id, squeeze_factor):
df = self.sim.population.props
hs = self.sim.modules["HealthSystem"]
# Ignore this event if the person is no longer alive:
if not df.at[person_id, 'is_alive']:
return hs.get_blank_appt_footprint()
# Check that this event has been called for someone with the symptom blood_urine
assert 'blood_urine' in self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].has_what(person_id)
# If the person is already diagnosed, then take no action:
if not pd.isnull(df.at[person_id, "bc_date_diagnosis"]):
return hs.get_blank_appt_footprint()
# Check consumables are available
# TODO: replace with cystoscope
cons_avail = self.get_consumables(item_codes=self.module.item_codes_bladder_can['screening_biopsy_core'],
optional_item_codes=
self.module.item_codes_bladder_can['screening_biopsy_optional'])
if cons_avail:
# Use a biopsy to diagnose whether the person has bladder Cancer
# If consumables are available, run the dx_test representing the biopsy
# Use a cystoscope to diagnose whether the person has bladder Cancer:
dx_result = hs.dx_manager.run_dx_test(
dx_tests_to_run='cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_given_blood_urine',
hsi_event=self
)
if dx_result:
# record date of diagnosis:
df.at[person_id, 'bc_date_diagnosis'] = self.sim.date
# Check if is in metastatic:
in_metastatic = df.at[person_id, 'bc_status'] == 'metastatic'
# If diagnosis detects cancer, we assume classification as metastatic is accurate
if not in_metastatic:
# start treatment:
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_StartTreatment(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id
),
priority=0,
topen=self.sim.date,
tclose=None
)
else:
# start palliative care:
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_PalliativeCare(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id
),
priority=0,
topen=self.sim.date,
tclose=None
)
class HSI_BladderCancer_Investigation_Following_pelvic_pain(HSI_Event, IndividualScopeEventMixin):
def __init__(self, module, person_id):
super().__init__(module, person_id=person_id)
self.TREATMENT_ID = "BladderCancer_Investigation"
self.EXPECTED_APPT_FOOTPRINT = self.make_appt_footprint({"Over5OPD": 1})
self.ACCEPTED_FACILITY_LEVEL = '1b'
def apply(self, person_id, squeeze_factor):
df = self.sim.population.props
hs = self.sim.modules["HealthSystem"]
# Ignore this event if the person is no longer alive:
if not df.at[person_id, 'is_alive']:
return hs.get_blank_appt_footprint()
# Check that this event has been called for someone with the symptom pelvic_pain
assert 'pelvic_pain' in self.sim.modules['SymptomManager'].has_what(person_id)
# If the person is already diagnosed, then take no action:
if not pd.isnull(df.at[person_id, "bc_date_diagnosis"]):
return hs.get_blank_appt_footprint()
# Check consumables are available
# TODO: replace with cystoscope
cons_avail = self.get_consumables(item_codes=self.module.item_codes_bladder_can['screening_biopsy_core'],
optional_item_codes=self.module.item_codes_bladder_can[
'screening_biopsy_optional'])
if cons_avail:
# Use a biopsy to diagnose whether the person has bladder Cancer
# If consumables are available, run the dx_test representing the biopsy
# Use a cystoscope to diagnose whether the person has bladder Cancer:
dx_result = hs.dx_manager.run_dx_test(
dx_tests_to_run='cystoscopy_for_bladder_cancer_given_pelvic_pain',
hsi_event=self
)
if dx_result:
# record date of diagnosis:
df.at[person_id, 'bc_date_diagnosis'] = self.sim.date
# Check if is in metastatic:
in_metastatic = df.at[person_id, 'bc_status'] == 'metastatic'
# If diagnosis detects cancer, we assume classification as metastatic is accurate
if not in_metastatic:
# start treatment:
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_StartTreatment(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id
),
priority=0,
topen=self.sim.date,
tclose=None
)
else:
# start palliative care:
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_PalliativeCare(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id
),
priority=0,
topen=self.sim.date,
tclose=None
)
class HSI_BladderCancer_StartTreatment(HSI_Event, IndividualScopeEventMixin):
"""
Scheduled by HSI_bladderCancer_Investigation_Following_blood_urine or pelvic pain following a
diagnosis of bladder Cancer using cystoscopy. It initiates the treatment of bladder Cancer.
It is only for persons with a cancer that is not in metastatic and who have been diagnosed.
"""
def __init__(self, module, person_id):
super().__init__(module, person_id=person_id)
self.TREATMENT_ID = "BladderCancer_Treatment"
self.EXPECTED_APPT_FOOTPRINT = self.make_appt_footprint({'MajorSurg': 1})
self.ACCEPTED_FACILITY_LEVEL = '3'
self.BEDDAYS_FOOTPRINT = self.make_beddays_footprint({'general_bed': 5})
def apply(self, person_id, squeeze_factor):
df = self.sim.population.props
hs = self.sim.modules["HealthSystem"]
if not df.at[person_id, 'is_alive']:
return hs.get_blank_appt_footprint()
# If the status is metastatic, start palliative care (instead of treatment)
if df.at[person_id, "bc_status"] == 'metastatic':
logger.warning(key="warning", data="Cancer is metastatic - aborting HSI_BladderCancer_StartTreatment,"
"scheduling HSI_BladderCancer_PalliativeCare")
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_PalliativeCare(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id,
),
topen=self.sim.date,
tclose=None,
priority=0
)
return self.make_appt_footprint({})
# Check that the person has cancer, has been diagnosed and is not on treatment
assert not df.at[person_id, "bc_status"] == 'none'
assert not pd.isnull(df.at[person_id, "bc_date_diagnosis"])
assert pd.isnull(df.at[person_id, "bc_date_treatment"])
# Check consumables are available
cons_avail = self.get_consumables(item_codes=self.module.item_codes_bladder_can['treatment_surgery_core'],
optional_item_codes=
self.module.item_codes_bladder_can['treatment_surgery_optional'])
if cons_avail:
# If consumables are available and the treatment will go ahead
# Record date and stage of starting treatment
df.at[person_id, "bc_date_treatment"] = self.sim.date
df.at[person_id, "bc_stage_at_which_treatment_given"] = df.at[person_id, "bc_status"]
# Schedule a post-treatment check for 12 months:
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_PostTreatmentCheck(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id,
),
topen=self.sim.date + DateOffset(years=12),
tclose=None,
priority=0
)
class HSI_BladderCancer_PostTreatmentCheck(HSI_Event, IndividualScopeEventMixin):
"""
Scheduled by HSI_BladderCancer_StartTreatment and itself.
It is only for those who have undergone treatment for Bladder Cancer.
If the person has developed cancer to metastatic, the patient is initiated on palliative care; otherwise a further
appointment is scheduled for one year.
"""
def __init__(self, module, person_id):
super().__init__(module, person_id=person_id)
self.TREATMENT_ID = "BladderCancer_Treatment"
self.EXPECTED_APPT_FOOTPRINT = self.make_appt_footprint({"Over5OPD": 1})
self.ACCEPTED_FACILITY_LEVEL = '3'
def apply(self, person_id, squeeze_factor):
df = self.sim.population.props
hs = self.sim.modules["HealthSystem"]
if not df.at[person_id, 'is_alive']:
return hs.get_blank_appt_footprint()
# Check that the person is has cancer and is on treatment
assert not df.at[person_id, "bc_status"] == 'none'
assert not pd.isnull(df.at[person_id, "bc_date_diagnosis"])
assert not pd.isnull(df.at[person_id, "bc_date_treatment"])
if df.at[person_id, 'bc_status'] == 'metastatic':
# If has progressed to metastatic, then start Palliative Care immediately:
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_PalliativeCare(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id
),
topen=self.sim.date,
tclose=None,
priority=0
)
else:
# Schedule another HSI_BladderCancer_PostTreatmentCheck event in one month
hs.schedule_hsi_event(
hsi_event=HSI_BladderCancer_PostTreatmentCheck(
module=self.module,
person_id=person_id
),
topen=self.sim.date + DateOffset(years=1),
tclose=None,
priority=0
)
class HSI_BladderCancer_PalliativeCare(HSI_Event, IndividualScopeEventMixin):
"""
This is the event for palliative care. It does not affect the patients progress but does affect the disability
weight and takes resources from the healthsystem.
This event is scheduled by either:
* HSI_bladderCancer_Investigation_Following_blood_urine following a diagnosis of bladder Cancer at metastatic.
* HSI_bladderCancer_PostTreatmentCheck following progression to metastatic during treatment.
* Itself for the continuance of care.
It is only for persons with a cancer in metastatic.
"""
def __init__(self, module, person_id):
super().__init__(module, person_id=person_id)
self.TREATMENT_ID = "BladderCancer_PalliativeCare"
self.EXPECTED_APPT_FOOTPRINT = self.make_appt_footprint({})
self.ACCEPTED_FACILITY_LEVEL = '2'
self.BEDDAYS_FOOTPRINT = self.make_beddays_footprint({'general_bed': 15})
def apply(self, person_id, squeeze_factor):
df = self.sim.population.props
hs = self.sim.modules["HealthSystem"]
if not df.at[person_id, 'is_alive']:
return hs.get_blank_appt_footprint()
# Check that the person is in metastatic
assert df.at[person_id, "bc_status"] == 'metastatic'
# Check consumables are available
cons_available = self.get_consumables(
item_codes=self.module.item_codes_bladder_can['palliation'])
if cons_available:
# If consumables are available and the treatment will go ahead