|
| 1 | +"""This Scenario file run the model under different assumptions for HR capabilities expansion in order to estimate the |
| 2 | +impact that is achieved under each. |
| 3 | +
|
| 4 | +Run on the batch system using: |
| 5 | +``` |
| 6 | +tlo batch-submit src/scripts/healthsystem/impact_of_policy/scenario_impact_of_const_capabilities_expansion.py |
| 7 | +``` |
| 8 | +
|
| 9 | +or locally using: |
| 10 | +``` |
| 11 | +tlo scenario-run src/scripts/healthsystem/impact_of_policy/scenario_impact_of_const_capabilities_expansion.py |
| 12 | +``` |
| 13 | +
|
| 14 | +""" |
| 15 | +from pathlib import Path |
| 16 | +from typing import Dict |
| 17 | + |
| 18 | +import pandas as pd |
| 19 | + |
| 20 | +from tlo import Date, logging |
| 21 | +from tlo.analysis.utils import get_parameters_for_status_quo, mix_scenarios |
| 22 | +from tlo.methods.fullmodel import fullmodel |
| 23 | +from tlo.methods.scenario_switcher import ScenarioSwitcher |
| 24 | +from tlo.scenario import BaseScenario |
| 25 | + |
| 26 | + |
| 27 | +class ImpactOfHealthSystemMode(BaseScenario): |
| 28 | + def __init__(self): |
| 29 | + super().__init__() |
| 30 | + self.seed = 0 |
| 31 | + self.start_date = Date(2010, 1, 1) |
| 32 | + self.end_date = self.start_date + pd.DateOffset(years=31) |
| 33 | + self.pop_size = 100_000 |
| 34 | + self._scenarios = self._get_scenarios() |
| 35 | + self.number_of_draws = len(self._scenarios) |
| 36 | + self.runs_per_draw = 2 |
| 37 | + |
| 38 | + def log_configuration(self): |
| 39 | + return { |
| 40 | + 'filename': 'effect_of_policy', |
| 41 | + 'directory': Path('./outputs'), # <- (specified only for local running) |
| 42 | + 'custom_levels': { |
| 43 | + '*': logging.WARNING, |
| 44 | + 'tlo.methods.demography': logging.INFO, |
| 45 | + 'tlo.methods.demography.detail': logging.WARNING, |
| 46 | + 'tlo.methods.healthburden': logging.INFO, |
| 47 | + 'tlo.methods.healthsystem.summary': logging.INFO, |
| 48 | + } |
| 49 | + } |
| 50 | + |
| 51 | + def modules(self): |
| 52 | + return fullmodel(resourcefilepath=self.resources) + [ScenarioSwitcher(resourcefilepath=self.resources)] |
| 53 | + |
| 54 | + def draw_parameters(self, draw_number, rng): |
| 55 | + if draw_number < self.number_of_draws: |
| 56 | + return list(self._scenarios.values())[draw_number] |
| 57 | + else: |
| 58 | + return |
| 59 | + |
| 60 | + # case 1: gfHE = -0.030, factor = 1.01074 |
| 61 | + # case 2: gfHE = -0.020, factor = 1.02116 |
| 62 | + # case 3: gfHE = -0.015, factor = 1.02637 |
| 63 | + # case 4: gfHE = 0.015, factor = 1.05763 |
| 64 | + # case 5: gfHE = 0.020, factor = 1.06284 |
| 65 | + # case 6: gfHE = 0.030, factor = 1.07326 |
| 66 | + |
| 67 | + def _get_scenarios(self) -> Dict[str, Dict]: |
| 68 | + """Return the Dict with values for the parameters that are changed, keyed by a name for the scenario. |
| 69 | + """ |
| 70 | + return { |
| 71 | + "No growth": |
| 72 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 73 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 74 | + { |
| 75 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 76 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "no_scaling", |
| 77 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 78 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 79 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 80 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 81 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 82 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 83 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 84 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 85 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 86 | + }, |
| 87 | + } |
| 88 | + ), |
| 89 | + |
| 90 | + "GDP growth": |
| 91 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 92 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 93 | + { |
| 94 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 95 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth", |
| 96 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 97 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 98 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 99 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 100 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 101 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 102 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 103 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 104 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 105 | + }, |
| 106 | + } |
| 107 | + ), |
| 108 | + |
| 109 | + "GDP growth fHE growth case 1": |
| 110 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 111 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 112 | + { |
| 113 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 114 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_fHE_case1", |
| 115 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 116 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 117 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 118 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 119 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 120 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 121 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 122 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 123 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 124 | + }, |
| 125 | + } |
| 126 | + ), |
| 127 | + |
| 128 | + "GDP growth fHE growth case 3": |
| 129 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 130 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 131 | + { |
| 132 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 133 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_fHE_case3", |
| 134 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 135 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 136 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 137 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 138 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 139 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 140 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 141 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 142 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 143 | + }, |
| 144 | + } |
| 145 | + ), |
| 146 | + |
| 147 | + "GDP growth fHE growth case 4": |
| 148 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 149 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 150 | + { |
| 151 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 152 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_fHE_case4", |
| 153 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 154 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 155 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 156 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 157 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 158 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 159 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 160 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 161 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 162 | + }, |
| 163 | + } |
| 164 | + ), |
| 165 | + |
| 166 | + "GDP growth fHE growth case 6": |
| 167 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 168 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 169 | + { |
| 170 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 171 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_fHE_case6", |
| 172 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 173 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 174 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 175 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 176 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 177 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 178 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 179 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 180 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 181 | + }, |
| 182 | + } |
| 183 | + ), |
| 184 | + |
| 185 | + "GDP growth FL case 1 const i": |
| 186 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 187 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 188 | + { |
| 189 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 190 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_FL_case1_const_tot_i", |
| 191 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 192 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 193 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 194 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 195 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 196 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 197 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 198 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 199 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 200 | + }, |
| 201 | + } |
| 202 | + ), |
| 203 | + |
| 204 | + "GDP growth FL case 2 const i": |
| 205 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 206 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 207 | + { |
| 208 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 209 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_FL_case2_const_tot_i", |
| 210 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 211 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 212 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 213 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 214 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 215 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 216 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 217 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 218 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 219 | + }, |
| 220 | + } |
| 221 | + ), |
| 222 | + |
| 223 | + "GDP growth FL case 1 vary i": |
| 224 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 225 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 226 | + { |
| 227 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 228 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_FL_case1_vary_tot_i", |
| 229 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 230 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 231 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 232 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 233 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 234 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 235 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 236 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 237 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 238 | + }, |
| 239 | + } |
| 240 | + ), |
| 241 | + |
| 242 | + "GDP growth FL case 2 vary i": |
| 243 | + mix_scenarios( |
| 244 | + get_parameters_for_status_quo(), |
| 245 | + { |
| 246 | + "HealthSystem": { |
| 247 | + "yearly_HR_scaling_mode": "GDP_growth_FL_case2_vary_tot_i", |
| 248 | + "year_mode_switch": 2019, |
| 249 | + "mode_appt_constraints_postSwitch": 2, |
| 250 | + "scale_to_effective_capabilities": True, |
| 251 | + "policy_name": "Naive", |
| 252 | + "tclose_overwrite": 1, |
| 253 | + "tclose_days_offset_overwrite": 7, |
| 254 | + "use_funded_or_actual_staffing": "actual", |
| 255 | + "year_cons_availability_switch": 2019, |
| 256 | + "cons_availability_postSwitch": "all", |
| 257 | + }, |
| 258 | + } |
| 259 | + ), |
| 260 | + } |
| 261 | + |
| 262 | +if __name__ == '__main__': |
| 263 | + from tlo.cli import scenario_run |
| 264 | + |
| 265 | + scenario_run([__file__]) |
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