You signed in with another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You signed out in another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You switched accounts on another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.Dismiss alert
Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: blog/posts/2024-01-07-advantage-and-disadvantage.html
+7-7Lines changed: 7 additions & 7 deletions
Original file line number
Diff line number
Diff line change
@@ -59,19 +59,19 @@ <h1>Advantage and disadvantage</h1>
59
59
<!--more-->
60
60
<h2id="probabilities">Probabilities</h2>
61
61
<p>Let’s abstract from a physical die and imagine that a one-shot chance of succeeding a check is <spanclass="math inline">\(p \in [0,1]\)</span>. In other words, <spanclass="math inline">\(\mathbb{P}(\mathrm{success})_\mathrm{default}=p\)</span> which gives us a nice straight-line chart.</p>
<p>Now, let’s consider what happens when we add the <strong>advantage</strong>. You fail a check <em>with advantage</em> when you fail your one-shot checks both times. Success is a complementary event, which means that</p>
<p>Since <spanclass="math inline">\(2p \geq p^2\)</span> when <spanclass="math inline">\(p \in [0,1]\)</span>, you get a nice boost to your chance of success.
68
68
This can be illustrated with the following chart:</p>
<p>The improvement that comes from the <em>advantage</em> is clamped between <spanclass="math inline">\(1\)</span> and <spanclass="math inline">\(2\)</span>, which is a nice bump but nothing extraodinary.
84
84
Exactly, as you would expect from a mature game system.</p>
<p>Now, let’s look at the effect of the disadvantage, in particular at <em>how much worse things get with disadvantage compared to the one-shot probability</em>.</p>
87
87
<p><spanclass="math display">\[
88
88
p / \mathbb{P}(\mathrm{success})_\mathrm{dis} = p / p^2 = 1/p
89
89
\]</span></p>
90
90
<p>Just by looking at this formula, it’s clear that things are not looking good. And even more so the smaller <spanclass="math inline">\(p\)</span> is!</p>
<p>In the best/worst-case scenario, when a one-shot chance of success is <spanclass="math inline">\(1\)</span> out of <spanclass="math inline">\(20\)</span>, having <strong>advantage</strong> would <em>almost</em> double your chances, but with <strong>disadvantage</strong> you’d be <spanclass="math inline">\(20\)</span> times less likely to succeed!</p>
96
96
<p>This is an interesting asymmetry in what — at first glance — supposed to be symmetric game mechanics.
97
-
Can’t say that I learned something useful outside of the world of Dungeons & Dragons, but next time I play Baldur’s Gate 3, I’ll more seriously consider picking <em>disadvantage</em>-inducing spells to debuff enemies rather than just throwing fireballs at them.</p>
97
+
I’m not sure if it’s particularly useful outside of the world of Dungeons & Dragons, but the next time I play Baldur’s Gate 3, I’ll be more serious about picking <em>disadvantage</em>-inducing spells to debuff enemies rather than just throwing fireballs at them.</p>
0 commit comments