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fix for flatline discovered, rename guts
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_pkgdown.yml

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@@ -16,7 +16,6 @@ articles:
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- backtesting
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- arx-classifier
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- update
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- guts
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- title: Advanced methods
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contents:
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- articles/smooth-qr

vignettes/epipredict.Rmd

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@@ -229,7 +229,7 @@ all_flatlines <- lapply(
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outcome = "death_rate",
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args_list = flatline_args_list(
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ahead = days_ahead,
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quantile_levels = c(0.05, 0.95)
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quantile_levels = c(0.05, 0.5, 0.95)
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)
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)
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}
@@ -244,7 +244,6 @@ autoplot(
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plot_data = covid_case_death_rates |> filter(geo_value %in% used_locations, time_value > "2021-07-01")
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)
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```
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_**the problem is only occurring in the plot, not the underlying prediction**_
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Note that the `cdc_baseline_forecaster` is a slight modification of this method
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for use in [the CDC COVID19 Forecasting Hub](https://covid19forecasthub.org/).

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