About being human

[janosabel]

I propose this topic as a container for exploring the consequences of a starting proposition:
We, humans, are spiritual beings with a mission in the physical universe
The material world is a cross-section of a higher-nonmaterial reality from where enter into the physical world at conception inhabiting and learn to master a physical "space suit" for a duration of certain length and exit when the spacesuit is worn out or is destroyed by accident.

Idealism is the philosophical stand point here: "... most fundamentally, reality... is entirely a mental construct;... "

[pukpr]

If you have some applied math that will fit empirical data, then go for it. Otherwise, I won't be of much help.

[pukpr]

https://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2024/01/not-just-another-dot-on-the-graph-part-ii/#comment-818535

Nigelj said:

"However climate models are generally mainly primarily used for projections rather than assessing the causes of the warming in 2023."

My climate models are only used for understanding climate variability. Once that is performed adequately then we can discriminate any secular trends from long-term cyclic variations.

In contrast, our peak oil models are all about projections. The only way that oil (and FF in general) deplete is by human extraction and combustion. No discrimination necessary as natural processes are not involved in depletion (at least not in human time scales). Projections are then a bet against geological constraints and economic game theory, the latter being an almost intractable problem to solve and apply to prediction.

Over at https://PeakOilBarrel.com, we treat fossil fuel depletion and climate change with equal amounts of concern. I really have no problem with Ned Kelly's comments. Already past the 50 yr anniversary when the Limits to Growth model predicted the future inflection point would occur -- right about NOW! -- and Dr. Thomas Smith recently pointed out that the updated LTG models haven't changed much at all.
https://twitter.com/DrTELS/status/1749923786634211483

original projection

updated

[pukpr]

[pukpr]

"Scientific reasoning driven by influential data: resuscitate dfstat!"
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.30.621016v1

The importance of cross-validation

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‪Puͣkiͧte̍‬ ‪@pukite.com‬
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4d
It will make mistakes, but serendipity and paste errors are often the key to progress. Unleash it and see where it goes.