Predictive modeling outline

prof-rossetti · Sep 15, 2024 · 76180f6 · 76180f6
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diff --git a/docs/_quarto.yml b/docs/_quarto.yml
@@ -255,8 +255,79 @@ website:
       - section:
         href: courses/fin-modeling.qmd
         text: "III. Financial Modeling" # "III. Advanced Financial Modeling in Python" # "III. Financial Modeling" #"III. Advanced Financial Modeling"
-        #contents:
-        #  - applied-ds/unit2.qmd
+        contents:
+
+          - section:
+            href: notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/index.qmd
+            text: "Machine Learning Foundations"
+            contents:
+
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/data-encoding.qmd
+                text: "Data Encoding"
+
+          - "--------------"
+          - section:
+            href: notes/predictive-modeling/supervised-learning.qmd
+            text: "Supervised Learning"
+            contents:
+
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/regression/index.qmd
+                text: "Regression"
+                contents:
+                  - section:
+                    href: notes/predictive-modeling/regression/linear.qmd
+                    text: "Linear Regression"
+                  - section:
+                    href: notes/predictive-modeling/regression/time-series-forecasting.qmd
+                    text: "Time Series Forecasting"
+
+                  - section:
+                    href: notes/predictive-modeling/regression/autoregressive-models.qmd
+                    text: "Autoregressive Models"
+
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/classification/index.qmd
+                text: "Classification"
+                contents:
+                  - section:
+                    href: notes/predictive-modeling/classification/binary.qmd
+                    text: "Binary Classification"
+                  - section:
+                    href: notes/predictive-modeling/classification/multiclass.qmd
+                    text: "Multi-class Classification"
+
+          - "--------------"
+          - section:
+            href: notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/index.qmd
+            text: "Model Management"
+            contents:
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/model-optimization/grid-search.qmd
+                text: "Model Optimization"
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/saving-loading.qmd
+                text: "Model Management"
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/deploying.qmd
+                text: "Model Deployment"
+
+
+          - "--------------"
+          - section:
+            href: notes/predictive-modeling/unsupervised-learning.qmd
+            text: "Unsupervised Learning"
+            contents:
+
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/dimensionality-reduction/pca.qmd
+                text: "Dimensionality Reduction"
+
+              - section:
+                href: notes/predictive-modeling/clustering/index.qmd
+                text: "Clustering"
+
 
       #- "---------"
       #- about-author.qmd

diff --git a/docs/data/grades.csv b/docs/data/grades.csv
@@ -0,0 +1,25 @@
+Name,StudyHours,Grade
+Arun,10,50
+Sofia,11.5,50
+Hassan,9,47
+Zara,16,97
+Liam,9.25,49
+Xia,1,3
+Carlos,11.5,53
+Kwame,9,42
+Fatima,8.5,26
+Takumi,14.5,74
+Leila,15.5,82
+Jin,13.75,62
+Priya,9,37
+Mei,8,15
+Alberto,15.5,70
+Anika,8,27
+Elif,9,36
+Tariq,6,35
+Lakshmi,10,48
+Maya,12,52
+Yusuf,12.5,63
+Zainab,12,64
+Juan,8,
+Ali,,
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/classification/binary.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/classification/binary.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Binary Classification
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/classification/index.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/classification/index.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Classification
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/classification/multiclass.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/classification/multiclass.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Multi-class Classification
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/clustering/index.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/clustering/index.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Clustering
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/dimensionality-reduction/pca.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/dimensionality-reduction/pca.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+# Dimensionality Reduction
+
+## Principal Component Analysis (PCA)
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/index.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/index.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Predictive Modeling in Python (for Finance)
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/data-encoding.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/data-encoding.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
+# Data Encoding
+
+## Ordinal Encoding
+
+## One-hot Encoding
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/generalization.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/generalization.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
+# Generalization
+
+overfit vs underfit,
+
+
+
+
+## Train-Test Split
+
+## Cross Validation
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/index.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/index.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Machine Learning Foundations
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/model-evaluation.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/model-evaluation.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Model Evaluation
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/training-and-loss.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/ml-foundations/training-and-loss.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,17 @@
+# Model Training and Evaluation
+
+maximizing some objective, and measuring it.
+
+Some models are "closed-form" models, which use a predetermined function to arrive at the ideal weights. The Linear Regression is one example of this.
+
+Other models use an "iterative optimization" technique to arrive at the ideal weights over a number of simulated trial periods, or "epochs". Deep learning models rely on this iterative optimization approach.
+
+
+## Model Evaluation
+
+different metrics for regression vs classification
+
+### Regression Metrics
+
+
+### Classification Metrics
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/deploying.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/deploying.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Deploying Machine Learning Models
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/index.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/index.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Model Management
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/saving-loading.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-management/saving-loading.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
+# Saving and Loading Models
+
+## Saving Trained Models
+
+
+## Loading Pre-trained Models
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-optimization/grid-search.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/model-optimization/grid-search.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
+# Model Optimization
+
+## Hyperparameter Tuning
+
+### Grid Search
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/autoregressive-models.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/autoregressive-models.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
+# Autocorrelation and Auto-Regressive Models
+
+## Autocorrelation
+
+## Auto-Regressive Models
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/index.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/index.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Regression
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/linear.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/linear.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Linear Regression
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/ridge-lasso.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/ridge-lasso.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
+# Advanced Regression Models
+
+## Ridge
+
+## Lasso
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/time-series-forecasting.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/regression/time-series-forecasting.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Regression for Time Series Forecasting
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/supervised-learning.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/supervised-learning.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Supervised Learning
diff --git a/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/unsupervised-learning.qmd b/docs/notes/predictive-modeling/unsupervised-learning.qmd
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+# Unsupervised Learning
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		# Dimensionality Reduction

		## Principal Component Analysis (PCA)